中国最强音

普京不久将访问北京，与中国领导人习近平会面，届时几乎不会出现对中俄无上限伙伴关系持怀疑态度的人所说的分歧。    GLASTONBURY, Conn. -- A former Connecticut police officer is suspected of being a serial burglar and committing 30 or more thefts in three states, including the community he had patrolled until recently. A newly unsealed warrant says former Glastonbury Police Officer Patrick Hemingway is believed to have targeted safes and cash registers at restaurants and businesses in Connecticut, Rhode Island and Massachusetts. The warrant, cited in multiple news reports and released Thursday, says surveillance videos show a suspect possibly resembling the former officer.Hemingway, 37, was charged last month with computer crimes and making a false statement. A judge at his arraignment said more charges were expected. In one surveillance video, a tall male wearing a mask, gloves and a hooded sweatshirt is seen holding a flashlight “in a tactical manner.” The suspect is also holding “a coiled, corded object to his left ear” that resembles the portable police radios used by the Glastonbury Police Department, the warrant said.“Lock-picking tools” were used in some of the burglaries, according to the warrant. Hemingway left behind a bag that included a lock-picking tool kit when he resigned Sept. 1 from the Glastonbury Police Department, the warrant said. Cell phone data and images of a vehicle resembling one owned by Hemingway's wife and spotted at multiple break-ins are also cited in the warrant.As the burglary part of the investigation continues, Hemmingway is being held on a $1 million bond. His lawyer argued in court that the bond was too high. “I've seen murder cases where the bond is that high,” James E. Sulick said. “I want to withhold any comment until I’ve had a chance to review things with my client,” Sulick said Saturday. “And I just haven’t been able to do that yet.”Hemingway was initially arrested as a fugitive from justice on Sept. 22 at a New Jersey airport where Sulick said he was studying to become a commercial pilot. He was extradited to Connecticut. The warrant for the computer crime, signed when Hemingway was in New Jersey, stems from allegations he misused a police database 80 times. According to the warrant, Sulick made 28 queries about his own vehicle from Feb. 26, 2019, as well as 19 queries about his wife's vehicle from April 11, 2022 to Aug. 23, plus other queries."A possible explanation for Patrick running such information so frequently would have been to determine if he was being investigated by police,” the warrant said. Last month, the Glastonbury Police Department issued a news release saying they had been alerted to the possibility that a former officer was a person of interest in a recent burglary and had contacted the Connecticut State Police Major Crimes unit because the investigation involved multiple jurisdictions. The officer was not named and the department said it would not comment further.。然而，普京的优先事项很可能会与东道国的优先事项发生冲突，克莱蒙特麦肯纳学院政府学教授裴敏欣为彭博社撰文指出。

这位教授认为，普京现在别无选择，只能从短期考虑，即乌克兰的失败将对他的统治构成生存威胁。因此，他完全有理由迫使中国为他的战争提供更多实质性的军事支持。

裴敏欣指出：”值得注意的是，俄罗斯决定在中国高官最近对法国进行国事访问之际宣布进行挑衅性核演习。这让北京感到尴尬，而北京正面临着来自欧洲的越来越大的压力，迫使其利用自己的影响力结束战争。普京此举发出了一个并不含蓄的信息：中国在战争问题上保持中立已不再可行。”

这位教授认为，中国可能不会介意给予普京更多支持，但中国在短期内面临严重制约，需要争取时间。

B | 自2023年3月与普京的上一次会晤以来，北京的处境恶化，这主要是由于中国经济下滑以及与西方的关系持续紧张。

裴敏欣称：”这两个因素是相互关联的。尽管在技术和贸易方面出现了一些初步分离，但与普京干预之前的俄罗斯经济相比，中国经济与美国和欧洲的交织程度仍然要深得多。

C | 2023年，中国对美国的商品出口总额为4270亿美元，对欧盟的商品出口总额约为5500亿美元。”

在他看来，中国政府在关键领域实现自给自足的战略可能会减少对西方市场的过度依赖，但至少在未来几年，中国将不得不依靠出口来克服经济困难。

“由于中国无法断绝与西方的经济联系，北京必须谨慎对待向普京提供多少援助及何种援助。美国显然了解中国的脆弱性。”这位教授说。

“两位领导人可能会在会议上宣布一系列新的协议，以防止普京空手而归（最重要的是他们能否就”西伯利亚电力2号”天然气管道签署协议）。但北京不太可能向普京提供那种越过西方红线的军事支持。”这位教授认为。

裴敏欣称：”未来两三年，中俄之间的主要紧张关系仍将存在，如果普京再次在战场上失利，这种紧张关系可能会变得更加难以控制。”